Cotton 3-30-12

May Cotton is currently trading at 93.40 and hit 94.39 yesterday.  The Zone-Trader Pivot on the Quarterly Profile is at 95.95.  May Cotton has failed to extend the Bearish Downtrend.  No candle body close below the midpoint between MS3 and MS4 look for reversion to the Zone-Trader Pivot on this specific profile.

May Cotton can continue higher.  The key currently is whether or not it can get above the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Quarterly Profile at 95.95 and attempt to make a Bullish Breakout, which will take prices up to the 98.09 to 99.41 area initially.

Currently we are up $5.23 per contract on this trade and each $1 move is equivalent to $500 per contract.
If you are flat and are interested in entering this market, Key off the Yearly Profile and Quarterly Profiles look for buying opportunities around 91.01 if price retraces to this price area.

COTTON 3-27-12

May Cotton (CTK12) continues to trend higher as i expected and suggested.  CTK12 is currently trading at 92.55 up $4.38 or a gain of $2190.00 per contract as each $1 move in Cotton is $500 per contract.

The Yearly Profile on CTK12 failed to make a Bearish Breakout with the close on Friday of last week, which suggested for us to hold the current long position from 88.17.  With this failed Bearish Breakout on the Yearly Profile occurring, I now expect prices to revert back to the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Yearly Profile, which is currently 94.53.  I feel prices can go even higher then this price level but that is the current short-term target at this point in time.  Below is a screenshot of the Yearly Profile so you can assess for yourself, take note of the prices of the other Zone-Trader Levels above the ZT-Pivot which is white.  They will give price levels for further targets above the ZT-Pivot on the Yearly Profile.  Good Luck!

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COTTON 3-2-12

May Cotton continues to revert towards the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Monthly as i suggested was being derived from the Zone-Trader Philosophy.  May Cotton is currently trading at 90.25 up over $2 per contract from our proposed entry at 88.17 over $1000 per contract.

If May Cotton can stay in this price area and close today above 89.16 then the Yearly Profile will be making a failed bearish breakout, which suggest higher prices ahead and a revert to the Zone-Trader Pivot on that Profile which is at 94.53.  This could turn into a monster trade.

Cotton 3-22-12

May cotton trade is working nicely now as we still expect this market to revert to the zt pivot on the monthly at 91.02.  It is currently trading at 89.68 getting close to $2 above our entry.  Currently we are positive around $750 per contract as it continues to fluctuate.  

cotton 3-19-12

May cotton has failed to make a bearish breakout on the monthly profile generating a buy signal at 88.17.
This failure suggest that May cotton will now revert back to the Zone-Trader pivot on the Monthly at 91.02.
If May cotton reverts to the Zone-Trader Pivot as expected and closes on Friday of this week above the
entry of 88.17.  This would further signal a failed bearish breakout on the Yearly Profile, which the reversion to the Zone-Trader Pivot would push prices to the 94.53 price area.

If May Cotton can revert to the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Yearly and break above it the next target up would be MR1 on the Yearly which is currently 100.06.

Screenshot of the Monthly Profile is below again look to buy May Cotton at 89.17

USDCHF 3-18-12

The USDCHF cross found support at the my suggested prices on the Weekly Profile and then started the next leg up, which was the Bullish Trend Extension Wave.  USDCHF failed to extend the Bullish uptrend, which generated a sell signal as we then expect this market to revert back to the Zone-Trader Pivot.

USDCHF did exactly as expected and reverted back to the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Weekly Profile, and then traded lower down into the Bearish Breakout Zone between MS1 and MS2.  USDCHF currently has not yet established a Bearish Breakout on the Weekly Profile, no candle body close below the midpoint between MS1 and MS2 which the price is .91446.  However it has not failed yet to establish a Bearish Breakout either.

USDCHF is now at a key area as it is very close to the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Yearly Profile .91180.  If USDCHF can stay above this price level and fails to make a bearish breakout look for buy signals on short -term to medium term time intervals.  If USDCHF makes a bearish breakout on the Weekly Profile and the price falls below the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Yearly Profile, look for sell signals on all time frames.

USDCHF 3-15-12

USDCHF has confirmed an uptrend on the weekly profile held the time filter above MR2.  USDCHF has also held the time filter above the top of the Persistence Zone the bulls are in control of the market on the week.  Look to buy the 1st retrace, look for support at .92307, and .92064.

USDCHF is currently above the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Yearly Profile, the price of which is .91180 and currently attempting to make a bullish breakout on the year.  USDCHF opened inside the PZ on the Year so currently the bulls and bears are fighting for control of the market within this profile.  This midpoint of the Yearly PZ is the same price as the Yearly Profile Zone-Trader Pivot .91180.  

GOLD 3-14-12

The June contract in Gold (GCM12) failed to extend the bullish uptrend 11 trading days ago on the Quarterly Profile.  No candle body close above the midpoint between MR3 and MR4.  This generated a sell signal at 1770.00 as the Zone-Trader Philosophy suggest that GCM12 would revert back to the Zone-Trader Pivot at 1636.80.

GCM12 has now hit the Zone-Trader Pivot at 1636.80 and has initially found support.  GCM12 will have to break below the Zone-Trader Pivot on the Quarterly Profile in order to continue down-trending.  The bulls are in control of the market on the Quarter as the time filter held above the top of the PZ on Feb. 6.  So we should expect buyers to come into the market and attempt to maintain control of the market, now that the price is back within the Persistence Zone defined by 2 orange lines.

The bottom of the PZ is at 1604.50, and will be a major support if price should reach it. Currently with reversion to the Zone-Trader Pivot after the failed bullish trend extension, GCM12 is now balanced and will have to attempt to make another breakout.  The Zone-Trader Pivot on the Quarterly at 1636.80 is currently holding support, look for buy signals on medium term time frames 30 minute and 60 minute charts as long as they are generated above that 1636.80 price level.  If GCM12 falls below this price level i would stay on short side until it reaches 1604.50 to 1576.40 prce area.

3-14-12 EMINI SP

Hello everyone we have completed our move and the dedicated fiber optic line is finally installed, sorry for the delay.  I will resume with more active blogging of analysis and actually trade entries for several markets.  Thanks for your patience.

The Emini SP has made a bullish breakout on the yearly profile, and it is currently attempting to hold the time filter above the top of the persistence zone which will put the bulls in control of the market on the year.  Look to buy the 1st retrace on this profile which is analyzed by applying weekly candles.  Look for support around 1296.00 to 1267.00 area.

The ESM12 on the Yearly Profile has continued to trend higher into the old persistence zone identified by the red horizontal lines, which is from 2008 that is when the bears took control of the market and we all know what happened after that.  This price range is a key area for the ES is has hit the midpoint now at 1392.00 and the further it move into this zone the more resistance we should see come into the market.  The top of the 2008 PZ in red is at 1443.75 this will be a major resistance for the ES.  

The ZoneTrader Philosophy Persistence Zone Theory suggest that the bottom is in on the ES as the 2011 PZ was higher then the 2010 and now the 2012 PZ is higher then the 2011 which suggested more bullish movement throughout this year.  You can analyze this by looking at the shift in the 2 orange lines on the screenshot. You can see in 2011 the PZ was higher then 2010 confirming the bottom and suggesting to buy all pullbacks within that price range.  Then the ES sold off in 2011 only to get stopped dead in its tracks at the midpoint of the 2011 Persistence Zone.  The ES has been in a strong uptrend ever since.